Condiciones del mercado, sentimiento del inversor y efecto de disposición. Estudio empírico basado en el mercado bursátil chino
Market conditions, investor sentiment and disposition effect. An empirical study based on China's stock market
Resumen
Utilizando los datos de transacciones del mercado de valores y los datos financieros de las empresas cotizadas de 2003 a 2021 en China, exploramos la forma de existencia del efecto de disposición. A continuación, combinamos el proceso de aprendizaje bayesiano con el modelo DSSW para investigar el tamaño y el rendimiento del efecto de disposición cuando las condiciones del mercado difieren de las creencias irracionales de los inversores. En China, el efecto de disposición tiene forma de V asimétrica y una correlación negativa significativa con el sentimiento de los inversores. Además, afectado por el sentimiento, su rendimiento es opuesto en el mercado alcista y en el mercado bajista. La investigación y las conclusiones anteriores tienen importancia teórica y práctica para comprender el efecto de disposición, optimizar la toma de decisiones de los inversores y reforzar la infraestructura del mercado de capitales.
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