MODELING OF AQUIFER RECHARGE SCENARIOS IN THE OTOMI PARK, MEXICA 2014 – 2025
Abstract
The present research aims at modeling aquifer recharge scenarios in the Otomí Mexica Park 2014-2025. Aquifer recharge is of vital importance for the preservation of the Protected Natural Area and for the quality of life of the population. The methodology consists of the following stages: 1) Classification and typification of the aquifer recharge scenario modeling 2014-2025; 2) Cartographic photointerpretation and quantification of the aquifer recharge scenario modeling; 3) Selection, regression and curvilinear estimation for the time series from 2014; 4) Selection of dependent variable and models for aquifer recharge; 5) Time series modeling to 2025; 6) Estimation of precipitation and temperature; 7) Estimation of evapotranspiration volume. The results show that the prevailing scenario for rainfall and average annual temperature is optimal, indicating an increase over the next four years. Meanwhile, the evapotranspiration trend indicates a decrease over the next four years.
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