EVALUACIÓN DEL REANALYSIS (NCEP/NCAR) PARA EL ESTUDIO DE LA VARIABILIDAD TERMO-PLUVIOMÉTRICA DEL NOROESTE ARGENTINO
Supporting Agencies
- CONICET
- UNS
Abstract
This study aims at assessing the precision of Reanalysis NCEP/NCAR for characterizing the thermal and rainfall variability in Northwest Argentina. Time series registered in situ and downloaded from Reanalysis were processed for the 1960-2020 period. Standard statistical techniques were applied, and subsequently, the spatial variation of temperature and rainfall was studied by applying the Kriging method. Finally, we analyzed both series with quantile regression. We divided the time series into ten quantiles and studied the adjustments. Results evidenced that both temperature and rainfall had statistical adjustments (p < 0.05), indicating that data from Reanalysis allowed the characterization of the spatial distribution of these variables with high accuracy. Air temperature registered higher results than rainfall. Nevertheless, when we studied the extremes, we observed significant differences. The temperature was reasonably adjusted in temperate and arid climates, while rainfalls presented significant results in the middle quantiles but not so in the extreme quantiles. The results obtained are an essential database for climate studies on a regional scale and for the design of land use plans to improve population’s quality of life and the environment.
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